The Carolina Hurricanes can close out their quarterfinal series against the Boston Bruins with a road win in TD Garden on Thursday night.
The Canes took control of proceedings with a convincing 5-1 home triumph in Game 5 on Tuesday evening. The Bruins won Games 3 and 4, meaning the road team has yet to prevail in this series.
Can Boston stave off elimination in Game 6? Find out in our free NHL picks and predictions for Hurricanes vs Bruins on Thursday, May 12.
Hurricanes vs Bruins odds
This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.
The Bruins opened as consensus -124 favorites for Game 6 and have crept up to -130 at the majority of sportsbooks. The total was unveiled at 6.0, and has stood pat at most sites, with significant vig attached to the Under.
Hurricanes vs Bruins predictions
Predictions made on 5/12/2022 at 10:30 a.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.
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Hurricanes vs Bruins game info
• Location: TD Garden, Boston, MA
• Date: Thursday, May 12, 2022
• Puck drop: 7:00 p.m. ET
• TV: TNT
Hurricanes vs Bruins series odds
Hurricanes vs Bruins betting preview
Hurricanes: Frederik Andersen G (Out), Jordan Martinook LW (Questionable).
Bruins: Hampus Lindholm D (Probable).
Find our latest NHL injury reports.
Hurricanes vs Bruins head-to-head record (last 10 meetings)
Hurricanes: 6-4-0, 39 goals for.
Bruins: 4-6-0, 20 goals for.
Betting trend to know
The Bruins are 39-18 in their last 57 home games. Find more NHL betting trends for Hurricanes vs. Bruins.
Hurricanes vs Bruins picks and predictions
Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.
The Hurricanes have hardly intimidated the Bruins in Boston in this series, and that trend should continue in Game 6.
The Bruins are 28-15 straight-up at home this season, including the playoffs, compared to 25-19 SU on the road. The Hurricanes are 32-12 SU at home, but only 25-18 SU as the visitors.
“The Perfection Line” — Brad Marchand, Patrice Bergeron, and David Pastrnak — played a huge role in the Bruins’ victories in Games 3 and 4. Marchand led the way with an incredible eight points over the two games, with Bergeron and Pastrnak each adding four of their own.
Boston should be a bit more solid defensively tonight with the probable return of Hampus Lindholm, who’s been out since Game 2 with a concussion. That will work to the benefit of goaltender Jeremy Swayman, who saw 37 shots in Game 5. Swayman faced a reasonable total of 53 shots in Games 3 and 4, stopping 49 of them, and the 23-year-old rookie from Anchorage is capable of stumping Carolina once more.
The trends are working against the Canes in this spot, as they’re 5-16 in their last 21 playoff games as an underdog and 3-11 in their last 14 games in Boston. Meanwhile, the Bruins are 10-3 in their last 13 games following a loss of three or more goals, and 42-17 in their last 59 games as the betting favorite.
Prediction: Bruins moneyline (-125 at WynnBET)
The Over has been on an incredible run in this series, going 4-0-1 through five games. Although oddsmakers have inched the line up from 5.5 to 6.0, bettors should still lean toward this game exceeding the total.
The Bruins, like many NHL teams, have put more pucks in the net at home than on the road this year. They average 2.98 goals per game away from home, but 3.20 goals per game on home ice. A major contributing factor in the regular season was their power play, which clicked at only 16.1% in away games, but 25.8% at TD Garden.
No Boston forward had more dramatic home/road splits this season than Patrice Bergeron, who accumulated 40 points in 39 home games (14 goals, 26 assists), but only 25 in 34 road affairs (11 goals, 14 assists). That trend has continued into the postseason, as Bergeron has only two points through three road games, but four over the first two games at home.
Meanwhile, the Hurricanes were actually a more dangerous offense in enemy territory this year, notching 3.46 goals per game as the visitors (fourth in the NHL) while mustering 3.29 goals per game at home (12th). Vincent Trochek (29 points on the road, 22 points at home) and Nino Niederreiter (24 points on the road, 20 points at home) were among the Carolina forwards with “reverse splits” this season.
Trend bettors should note that the Over is 7-0-1 in the Hurricanes’ last eight overall, and 18-6-2 in their last 26 road games. The Over is 15-5-2 in the Bruins’ last 22 games against teams with a win percentage above .600.
Prediction: Over 6.0 (+105 at PointsBet)
Brad Marchand has been the Bruins’ best skater so far this series, and bettors should expect his stick to stay hot at home in Game 6.
Marchand has done plenty of damage on the power play, notching four of his eight points at TD Garden in this series on the man-advantage. It’s been a continuation of his regular-season home/road splits, as he gathered 19 power-play points at home, and only eight in enemy territory.
If Boston is going to stay alive in this series, Marchand will have to come through. Whether it’s at even strength or not, Marchand should tally at least an assist to aid his club on Thursday night.
Pick: Brad Marchand to score a point (-200 at Caesars)
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